Outliers Treatment in Support Vector Regression for Financial Time Series Prediction
نویسندگان
چکیده
Recently, the Support Vector Regression (SVR) has been applied in the financial time series prediction. The financial data are usually highly noisy and contain outliers. Detecting outliers and deflating their influence are important but hard problems. In this paper, we propose a novel “two-phase” SVR training algorithm to detect outliers and reduce their negative impact. Our experimental results on three indices: Hang Seng Index, NASDAQ, and FSTE 100 index show that the proposed “two-phase” algorithm has improvement on the prediction.
منابع مشابه
Ensemble Kernel Learning Model for Prediction of Time Series Based on the Support Vector Regression and Meta Heuristic Search
In this paper, a method for predicting time series is presented. Time series prediction is a process which predicted future system values based on information obtained from past and present data points. Time series prediction models are widely used in various fields of engineering, economics, etc. The main purpose of using different models for time series prediction is to make the forecast with...
متن کاملSupport vector regression for prediction of gas reservoirs permeability
Reservoir permeability is a critical parameter for characterization of the hydrocarbon reservoirs. In fact, determination of permeability is a crucial task in reserve estimation, production and development. Traditional methods for permeability prediction are well log and core data analysis which are very expensive and time-consuming. Well log data is an alternative approach for prediction of pe...
متن کاملShort Term Load Forecasting Using Empirical Mode Decomposition, Wavelet Transform and Support Vector Regression
The Short-term forecasting of electric load plays an important role in designing and operation of power systems. Due to the nature of the short-term electric load time series (nonlinear, non-constant, and non-seasonal), accurate prediction of the load is very challenging. In this article, a method for short-term daily and hourly load forecasting is proposed. In this method, in the first step, t...
متن کاملIdentification of outliers types in multivariate time series using genetic algorithm
Multivariate time series data, often, modeled using vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) model. But presence of outliers can violates the stationary assumption and may lead to wrong modeling, biased estimation of parameters and inaccurate prediction. Thus, detection of these points and how to deal properly with them, especially in relation to modeling and parameter estimation of VARMA m...
متن کاملStock Price Prediction using Machine Learning and Swarm Intelligence
Background and Objectives: Stock price prediction has become one of the interesting and also challenging topics for researchers in the past few years. Due to the non-linear nature of the time-series data of the stock prices, mathematical modeling approaches usually fail to yield acceptable results. Therefore, machine learning methods can be a promising solution to this problem. Methods: In this...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2004